Saturday, December 30, 2006

Bored of the Games

William Dembski blogged at uncommondescent (Dec 29th) about a new board game (Intelligent Design vs Evolution) and commented:

You know you’ve arrived when you’re the topic of a board game (look for “ID — The Movie” next).
Given that one of the creators of the game has a web-site for the game that is full of straw-men and that creationist whacko Ken Ham writes about it:

"Ray Comfort and Kirk Cameron are doing much more than revealing the bankruptcy of molecules-to-man evolution. They have a greater purpose: proclaiming biblical authority and reaching the lost with the precious gospel message. Enjoy this wonderful family game as you also become better equipped to defend our precious Christian faith." -- Ken Ham, President, Answers in Genesis.
, you can be pretty sure that the claim:


We are very excited about this game because it presents both sides of the creation evolution argument,...
really means that they are presenting - not evolution - but rather their twisted illogical crap version of it. Oh, yes Bill, you've arrived alright. It's just that you have totally failed to arrive at anything worthy of consideration.


PS. The object of the game is to collect rubber brains, something which would actually be a good description of Dembski et al.






Thursday, December 14, 2006

Best science blog 2006

I couldn't resist it. Phil Plait at Bad Astronomy will link to me if I vote for him in the upcoming blog awards. How could I not. I read his darned site after all. Everyone, vote for Phil!!!

The less we know...

This is just a minor observation, but I have seen several remarks in uncommondescent and other ID sites that, as we learn more and more about how organisms work, we realise that there increasingly is even more that we don't know. I agree with this sentiment. But then the ID folk go and state (as, for example, commenter gpuccio did at uncommondescent under "Ultraconserved Phenotype", Dec 13th) that this is support for ID. The reationale seems to be that unintelligent forces can't shape all this newly complexity, and only intelligence can. But that seems to be the exact opposite of what they should be arguing. Given that it gets harder and harder for intelligence to explain all this new information, it would be harder and harder for intelligence to design it. In other words, this is actually an argument against ID.

Sunday, December 10, 2006

My overwhelming experience

I have, for the last month (I just looked back on the dates- it's been a month!), been engaged in a debate at Overwhelming Evidence about whether it's possible or not for evolution to cause increases in information and functions or if this would require intelligence. The ID stance (represented here by Mario, Patrick and TRoutMac) is, of course that this is impossible. Judging by the length of the discussion you would have thought that there would have been a lot of topics covered, but looks are, in this instance, deceiving. Most of my discussion with Mario is just trying to pin down exactly what he meant by increases in information and functions (and just by information and functions as such, whether new or not). I will not recount everything that was said in this debate since it can be read in full at the link above, but I do want to give a summary of what was stated (and small bits that were never said as the thread was closed down prematurely). When I write "ID claim" below, I am referring to what the corresponents at Overwhelming Evidence wrote.

ID claim: Only intelligence can create new information and new functions. Evolution can't. Mutations can only degrade information and functions.


After a LONG session with Mario I managed to get a fair understanding of what he actually meant by function (and what would constitute a new one). It's an interesting defintion he uses: At the level of a catalytic enzyme, two enzymes, one that ligates the molecules a and b to make c and another that ligates d and e to make f, would not be functionally different. That's right, even though two different enzymes perform different functions, they are not functionally different! Instead, the enzymes would have to DO something different like, for example, transport instead of ligate. Why this is an important distinction, I'm not sure.

Their defintion of information, it was finally mentioned after quite some time, seems to be William Dembski's CSI.

ID claim: "An increase of info. can only be the product of gene duplication..."


Mario was quite hung up on the idea that a gene would have to be duplicated before it mutates and creates new info/functions. His reasons seem to be that unless there is a prior duplication, the mutations would destroy the info/function of the old gene and thus there would be no NET increase in information. The horizontal transfer of said gene into an organism that retained to original gene would not count as this would only be information/function TRANSFER (not origin of). I have to regress a bit and state that there was, to the aforementioned, a highly related I point which I never pursued (because the thread was closed down). The point being how they use the terms creation (or new) versus destruction (or loss) when discussing information. In their minds, new information and a new function is created once. For example, let's say that we get a new enzyme (by their definition) with the ability to make x from y and z in organism A. When organism A reproduces or when the new enzyme horizontally transfers to another organism, this would not constitute the creation of a new function/information. Fair enough - under some circumstances, I would agree. However, when they talk about the destruction (loss) of information/function they do not mean the opposite of creation/new as one would expect. Destruction occurs when ANY organism loses it's info/fuction, EVEN THOUGH GAZILLIONS of organisms might still have them. So, if organism A (with it's new function) above multiplies to become 10^10 organisms, we still have a singular event of info/function creation. But if 10^9 of those organisms lose that info/function we have 10^9 events of info/function destruction (even though the information/function still exists. Even more bizarely, if an organism loses a gene it's a loss, but if it regains it through horizontal gene transfer, it is not a gain. Even though overall no change has taken place, there has still been a loss of something, they seem to think. And most bizarely perhaps, the creation of a new info/function gene by destruction of an old gene and then the subsequent transfer of that gene into another organism that still has the old gene, creating an organism that has a new gene with new info/function does not count as an increase in info/function). If these guys were to be consistent, the destruction of information/functions should only be counted when the LAST of it disappears. (All this is so strange that I wonder if I might have misunderstood what they wrote, but i don't think so. And we will never know, either).

Moreover, claiming that the horizontal transfer (and genetic recombination, leading to changes in genetic code) of genetic material can never be considered an increase in information whereas an actual duplication (with subsequent changes) apparently can, seems to me to be applying double standards. The rationale seems to be that horizontal transfer is only a transfer of existing information, but then so is a duplication. I would have liked to see a clarification on this point.

ID claim: It is IMPOSSIBLE for non-intelligence to create new information.


Unfortunately, I never made them back this claim up. Their conclusion seems to come from the fact that it has never been observed (as per their definition of information and what they constitute as evidence). Unfortunately for them, no intelligence has ever been seen to create the information necessary for the complexity of living organism from DE NOVO either. But that doesn't bother them (they wouldn't even call that little problem an extrapolation. Go figure).

Regarding evolutionary algorithms:
TRoutMac used an analogy between the destruction of biological information and the destruction of information if you were to mutate some text editing software. The analogy is pretty useless, so i simply responded that he might want to look up evolutionary algorithms instead. I got two responses to this. One from Patrick and one from TRoutMac. Patrick's was simply a link to some piece he had written earlier. Wrote he:

There are computer models that attempt to simulate biological evolution, and they are so vastly oversimplified and divorced from the biological reality they attempt to imitate that claims made on their behalf should be considered very carefully.
He wrote a lot actually, but the first paragraph included the above. Evolutionary algorithms are indeed oversimplified, but they are a heck of a lot better at modelling evolutionary processes than TRoutMac's hypothetical text editor is. I think this was lost on TRoutMac.

TRoutMacwrote:

You're going to now argue against Intelligent Design by invoking Intelligent Design? Who devised those evolutionary algorithms, Hawks? Are you saying those people are stupid? That's not very nice… I suspect they would feel rather insulted.
One has to wonder why he wrote this. ANY sort of simulation will be programmed to some extent. At the very least, to simulate a biological system, even at the most basic level, you would at least have to have rules regarding the way atoms and molecules bond together. Would these rules in nature imply intelligence? (I would not be terribly surprised if TRoutMac answered yes, btw). If you wanted to simulate processes of information gain going on in organisms that are already "full of information", you would start of with a model using organisms that already are "full of information". This seems to be have gone straight over TRoutMac's head. TRoutMac, I would not call any of THOSE people stupid.

That was a long entry, and that's not even all. The rest will have to wait until a later date. Stay tuned.

Tuesday, December 05, 2006

Predictability

DaveScot at uncommondescent (Dec 5th) has (again) been moaning about whether or not evolution can make predictions. Says he:

Essentially, ToE predicts nothing. It explains history after the fact which is a whole lot different than predicting something before it happens. Of what value is a theory with no predictive power? Why do we bother teaching our children a valueless theory of history that more often than not is disbelieved and causes so much strife? Just the facts, ma’am, please.

Later in a comment he also says:

Evolution doesn’t make predictions of ANY grain. The source of change in evolution is purportedly random mutation. Random mutations are by definition unpredictable. The theory cannot predict what mutations will occur, when they will occur, or what effect they will have. It’s without predictive value.
If
you buy the theory of evolution having predictive power you probably also believe that someone who has predictive power puts the lottery numbers on the slips of paper found in Chinese fortune cookies.


Apart from anything else, I think that DaveScot might be a tad confused about what a prediction actually is. What has to be predicted is a future observation. Whether or not the events that enabled us to make those observations happened 1, 1000 or a million years ago does not matter. So, given that evolution explains the diversity of life by the fact that life-forms share common ancestry we would predict that, for example, animals that are similar (say a cat and a dog) would have more of their genetic material in common than would animals that are less similar (say a cat and a cow). Evolutionary theories predict this, DaveScot. ID, on the other hand, can not make this prediction. A designer might have created all life-forms separately (it might have borrowed bits and pieces from other life-forms it already created or not as well when doing so) so that the genetic material of a cat could actually be more similar to an Amanita mushroom than it is to a dog's. Bottom line, evolution can predict, ID can't. Get with it, DaveScot.

In school, DaveScot also wants to teach only facts, no theories. That is extremely interesting.
Fact: people who smoke are more likely to die of cancer. Theory: smoking causes cancer. Should we not teach that theory?
Fact: The Sun rises and sets. Theory: the Earth rotates. Should we not teach that theory?

Let's elect DaveScot as minister for education. Schooling would be great.

The enlightenment...

'Tis the seaon to not write much it would seem. My additions to this blog have been few and far between as of lately. The reason is that there hasn't been that much to comment about. uncommondescent et al might have written a bit, but none of it has been that interesting - it's just been a bit of random moaning. Including the latest by William Dembski (Dec 4th). Under "Doubts about Darwinism" he quotes something someone wrote in 1920, where "Darwinists" are described as "fighters for a lost cause" and "He will inform you of your ignorance; he will not enlighten your ignorance". As per usual, Dembski doesn't add any comments on his own. I, however, would like to comment on "He will inform you of your ignorance; he will not enlighten your ignorance".

I’m not sure from where Dembski gets all his information, but when claiming that the “Darwinists” don’t enlighten, he must have his head stuck up somewhere the Sun doesn’t shine. A cursory glance through the peer-reviewed published literature, the multitude of popular-science books and not to mention the vibrant internet community (e.g. talkorigins) would show Dembski that there is indeed a lot of enlightenment going on. He might have to look for it, but he would not have to look hard.

How much enlightenment does ID provide? Dembski would supposedly have us believe that “the intelligent designer did it” outputs more candelas than the average star. In fact, most of ID is actually summed up in the previous sentence.

Bill, get real!